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Tax Expenditures and Budgetary Impact

Tax and Revenue Management October 25, 2025
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Introduction

This specialized course focuses on **tax expenditures**—revenue losses attributable to provisions of the tax code that provide special exclusions, exemptions, deductions, or credits. These provisions are effectively subsidies delivered through the tax system. The course will cover the definition, measurement, and reporting of tax expenditures, treating them as equivalent to direct spending programs. Participants will learn how to conduct rigorous cost-benefit analysis of these 'hidden' subsidies and assess their true budgetary, economic, and social impact, thereby promoting greater fiscal transparency and accountability.

Objectives

Upon completion of this course, participants will be able to:

  • Define and identify a tax expenditure according to international and domestic standards.
  • Apply different methodologies (e.g., revenue foregone, outlay equivalent) to measure the cost of a tax expenditure.
  • Conduct a rigorous cost-benefit analysis for a specific tax expenditure program.
  • Integrate tax expenditure analysis into the standard annual budget process.
  • Evaluate the effectiveness, efficiency, and equity of a tax expenditure as a policy tool.
  • Draft comprehensive tax expenditure reports for legislative and public review.
  • Identify criteria for the successful reform or elimination of inefficient tax expenditures.
  • Understand the political and administrative challenges of managing the 'hidden budget.'

Target Audience

  • Budget Analysts and Fiscal Planners
  • Officials in Ministry of Finance/Treasury (Budget and Revenue Departments)
  • Legislative and Parliamentary Budget Office Staff
  • Policy Evaluation and Program Review Specialists
  • Tax Policy Analysts and Economists
  • Academics researching Fiscal Transparency
  • Auditors and Financial Controllers

Methodology

  • Practical workshop on calculating tax expenditure costs using provided data.
  • Group presentation of a cost-benefit analysis for a national tax provision.
  • Drafting a section of an annual tax expenditure budget report.
  • Discussions on the political hurdles in eliminating entrenched tax breaks.
  • Scenario analysis of replacing a tax deduction with a direct cash grant.
  • Peer review of policy briefs on fiscal transparency.

Personal Impact

  • Expertise in identifying and quantifying the true cost of tax subsidies.
  • Ability to conduct rigorous economic evaluation of tax-based programs.
  • Enhanced skills in fiscal reporting and increasing budget transparency.
  • Improved capacity for evidence-based reform recommendations.
  • A clearer understanding of the "hidden spending" in the tax code.

Organizational Impact

  • Greater control over total government spending and reduced "structural deficit."
  • More effective resource allocation through clearer comparison with direct spending.
  • Increased fiscal transparency and public accountability for tax policy decisions.
  • Stronger analytical basis for tax base broadening and simplification efforts.
  • Improved quality of parliamentary and public debate on fiscal matters.

Course Outline

Unit 1: The Concept and Measurement of Tax Expenditures

Defining the Baseline
  • The normative tax system (benchmark) and deviations from it
  • Official definitions of tax expenditures (IMF, OECD, and national standards)
  • Distinguishing between structural features and genuine tax expenditures
  • Types of tax expenditures: exclusions, deductions, deferrals, credits, and preferential rates
Measurement Methodologies
  • The revenue-foregone method and its limitations
  • The outlay-equivalent method and its application
  • The concept of net tax expenditures and interactions between provisions
  • Challenges in measuring complex or behavioral tax expenditures

Unit 2: Reporting and Budget Integration

Tax Expenditure Budgeting and Reporting
  • International best practices for annual tax expenditure reports
  • Integrating tax expenditures into the standard government financial accounts
  • Legislative and executive requirements for tax expenditure oversight
  • Presenting tax expenditure data for public and legislative consumption
Policy Analysis and Review
  • Using tax expenditure analysis for fiscal policy transparency
  • Comparing the cost of tax expenditures to direct spending programs
  • Analyzing the distributional impact of tax expenditures (who benefits?)

Unit 3: Evaluation and Economic Impact

Evaluating Effectiveness and Efficiency
  • Establishing clear objectives and performance indicators for tax expenditures
  • Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) and cost-benefit analysis (CBA) techniques
  • Assessing the behavioral response (elasticities) to tax incentives
  • Leakage, deadweight loss, and unintended consequences of tax expenditures
Impact on Budgetary Flexibility
  • The role of tax expenditures in long-term fiscal sustainability
  • Tax expenditures as a source of "structural deficit"
  • Analyzing tax expenditures as part of the total public sector debt

Unit 4: Case Studies and Reform

Sectoral Analysis of Tax Expenditures
  • Expenditures in the corporate sector (e.g., R&D credits, accelerated depreciation)
  • Expenditures in the personal sector (e.g., housing, health, education deductions)
  • Analyzing the effectiveness of tax incentives for investment and innovation
Tax Expenditure Reform
  • Identifying ineffective or inequitable tax expenditures for elimination
  • Strategies and political economy of tax base broadening
  • Converting tax expenditures into direct spending programs: pros and cons

Unit 5: Legal and Administrative Aspects

Legal Frameworks for Control
  • Statutory requirements for review and sunset provisions
  • The legal challenge of *entitlements* created by tax provisions
  • Administrative challenges in data collection and program monitoring

Ready to Learn More?

Have questions about this course? Get in touch with our training consultants.

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Upcoming Sessions

26 Jan

Bangkok

January 26, 2026 - January 30, 2026

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16 Feb

Lagos

February 16, 2026 - February 18, 2026

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09 Mar

London

March 09, 2026 - March 20, 2026

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