The energy transition requires unprecedented levels of capital, necessitating a thorough understanding of financial modeling, risk allocation, and innovative financing structures. This course provides a rigorous foundation in the economic principles and financial mechanisms driving clean energy investment. We will move beyond traditional financial metrics to explore key concepts like the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), green bonds, and the risks associated with stranded assets. Participants will gain the practical skills needed to structure, evaluate, and finance complex renewable energy and energy efficiency projects.
Energy Economics and Financing: Funding the Future of Energy
Energy Transition and Renewable Energy
October 25, 2025
Introduction
Objectives
Upon successful completion of this program, participants will be able to:
- Calculate and critically assess the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) and Storage (LCOS) for various technologies.
- Master the principles of project finance and apply them to utility-scale renewable energy assets.
- Analyze the key financial risks (e.g., PPA default, construction risk) inherent in energy projects.
- Evaluate the role and market dynamics of green bonds, sustainability-linked loans, and transition finance.
- Understand the economic impact of carbon pricing mechanisms on project viability.
- Develop a comprehensive financial model and sensitivity analysis for a renewable energy project.
- Identify and value the non-energy revenue streams (e.g., grid services) provided by energy storage.
- Structure Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) and understand their risk-allocation implications.
Target Audience
- Project Finance Analysts and Associates
- Investment Bankers focused on infrastructure and utilities
- Corporate Development and M&A specialists in the energy sector
- Financial Modellers and Quantitative Analysts
- Renewable Energy Project Developers
- Bank and institutional investors (pension funds, insurance)
- Treasury and Risk Management professionals
Methodology
- **Scenarios:** Structuring a non-recourse project finance deal for a 100MW solar farm, allocating specific risks between the parties.
- **Case Studies:** Analyzing the successful financial structuring of a major offshore wind farm development in Europe.
- **Group Activities:** Collaborative development of a financial model and sensitivity analysis for a proposed battery storage project.
- **Individual Exercises:** Calculating the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for a given set of input costs (CAPEX, OPEX, capacity factor).
- **Mini-Case Studies:** Rapid evaluation of a green bond issuance prospectus for compliance with ICMA principles.
- **Syndicate Discussions:** Debating whether subsidies or carbon pricing is the most economically efficient way to drive decarbonization.
- **Financial Report:** Presenting a project investment memorandum (IM) to a simulated banking committee.
Personal Impact
- Acquisition of highly sought-after financial modeling and structuring skills.
- Improved ability to assess the commercial viability and risks of energy projects.
- Enhanced career prospects in climate finance, infrastructure, and investment banking.
- Confidence in negotiating complex financial and contractual agreements (PPAs).
- Mastery of new metrics like LCOS and system value.
- Stronger analytical foundation for due diligence and M&A activities.
Organizational Impact
- More successful structuring and closure of large-scale renewable energy deals.
- Improved risk management and allocation through advanced financial modeling.
- Lower cost of capital through access to green finance instruments (bonds/loans).
- Better strategic decision-making on technology procurement based on LCOE/LCOS.
- Clearer understanding of long-term economic returns from energy projects.
- Reduced exposure to financial risk from climate policy changes.
Course Outline
Unit 1: Core Economic Metrics of Energy
Cost, Value, and Risk- Detailed calculation of Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) components.
- The concept of System Value and how it differs from LCOE.
- Introduction to Levelized Cost of Storage (LCOS) and its role in grid planning.
- The concept of negative externalities and the economics of carbon.
- Understanding the time value of money and discount rates in energy projects.
- Modeling the economic impact of technological learning curves.
Unit 2: Project Finance for Renewable Assets
Structure, Allocation, and Modeling- Fundamentals of non-recourse and limited-recourse project finance.
- Key financial documents: PPA, EPC Contract, O&M Agreement, and Loan Agreements.
- Identifying and mitigating construction, operational, and market risks.
- Developing integrated financial models (Pro Forma) for solar and wind farms.
- Structuring the capital stack: equity, senior debt, and mezzanine finance.
- Conducting debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and loan life coverage ratio (LLCR) analysis.
Unit 3: Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs)
Contractual Risk and Revenue Certainty- Types of PPAs: physical, virtual, fixed-price, and hybrid structures.
- Analyzing PPA terms for risk allocation between offtaker and generator.
- The role of corporate PPAs in driving renewable energy procurement.
- Modeling the impact of curtailment and shape risk on PPA revenues.
- The emergence of new contract structures for storage and hybrid projects.
Unit 4: Innovative and Sustainable Finance
The Shift to Green Capital- Introduction to Green Bonds, Social Bonds, and Sustainability-Linked Loans (SLLs).
- The role of international taxonomies (e.g., EU Taxonomy) in defining green assets.
- Blended finance: using public funds to de-risk and attract private investment.
- Valuing climate risk: discounting cash flows based on TCFD/scenario analysis.
- The financial implications of "stranded assets" and divestment movements.
Unit 5: Financing Specific Technologies
Storage, Hydrogen, and Efficiency- Financial models for behind-the-meter and utility-scale battery storage.
- Financing the high initial capital cost of Green Hydrogen production facilities.
- Understanding the economic incentives for Energy Efficiency projects (e.g., ESCOs).
- Modeling the integration of storage revenue streams into traditional generation assets.
- The economic viability of retrofitting existing infrastructure versus building new.
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