The energy transition is fundamentally altering the global distribution of power, creating new market leaders and geopolitical fault lines. This course examines the evolving dynamics of international energy trade, investment flows, and political risks as the world moves toward decentralized energy systems. We will analyze the traditional power of oil and gas producing nations, the rising influence of technology and mineral-rich states, and the new challenges of energy security in a renewables-dominated world. Participants will learn to anticipate geopolitical shifts and manage risks associated with this monumental economic transformation.
Global Energy Markets and Geopolitics of the Transition
Energy Transition and Renewable Energy
October 25, 2025
Introduction
Objectives
Upon successful completion of this program, participants will be able to:
- Analyze the historical and current structure of global oil, gas, and electricity markets.
- Assess the geopolitical leverage of traditional fossil fuel exporters and identify future shifts.
- Understand the critical role of rare earth minerals and strategic metals in the new energy economy.
- Evaluate the risks and opportunities associated with new energy infrastructure (e.g., hydrogen pipelines, subsea cables).
- Define and analyze the concept of energy security in a renewable and distributed system.
- Examine the role of international organizations (e.g., IEA, OPEC) during the transition.
- Identify emerging trade disputes and competition related to clean energy manufacturing and technology.
- Formulate a comprehensive strategy to manage geopolitical risks in clean energy supply chains.
Target Audience
- Senior executives in the energy and mining sectors
- Geopolitical risk analysts and foreign policy advisors
- Investment bankers and commodity traders
- Government and international relations specialists
- Supply Chain and Procurement Directors in renewable technology
- Energy Market Regulators and Economists
- Corporate strategists focused on long-term resource security
Methodology
- **Scenarios:** Developing a supply chain diversification plan for a battery manufacturer in response to trade tensions.
- **Case Studies:** Analyzing the geopolitical impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on European energy diversification.
- **Group Activities:** Collaborative assessment of the energy security profile of a major G7 nation in 2040 under different climate policy scenarios.
- **Individual Exercises:** Mapping the critical mineral supply chain for an electric vehicle and identifying three high-risk chokepoints.
- **Mini-Case Studies:** Rapid analysis of a recent policy decision by a major mineral-exporting nation and its market implications.
- **Syndicate Discussions:** Debating whether the transition will lead to more centralized or decentralized geopolitical power.
- **Risk Report:** Writing a concise risk report on the geopolitical stability of a proposed large-scale solar project location.
Personal Impact
- Acquisition of a strategic, long-term perspective on global power shifts.
- Improved ability to forecast market volatility driven by political events.
- Enhanced risk management skills for energy and technology supply chains.
- Stronger credibility when advising executives on international investment and trade.
- Deepened understanding of energy security in a renewable context.
- Positioning as a key contributor to corporate strategic foresight.
Organizational Impact
- Proactive management of geopolitical risks in the supply chain and project development.
- Better informed long-term capital allocation and investment decisions.
- Improved contract negotiation and hedging strategies in commodity markets.
- Enhanced corporate resilience to global energy market shocks.
- Compliance with emerging regulations on critical infrastructure security.
- Effective communication of global risk to the board and investors.
Course Outline
Unit 1: Traditional Market Structures and Power Dynamics
The Legacy of Fossil Fuels- The structure and influence of OPEC and major non-OPEC producers.
- Historical analysis of oil and gas price formation and market volatility.
- Global commodity trade routes and choke points (e.g., Strait of Hormuz).
- The geopolitical leverage of natural gas pipelines and LNG trade.
- Impact of regulatory policy on fossil fuel investment and pricing.
- The concept of resource curse and economic diversification strategies.
Unit 2: New Geographies of Energy Power
The Rise of Clean Energy Hegemony- The increasing power of nations dominating solar and wind manufacturing.
- Analyzing global supply chains for PV modules, batteries, and wind turbines.
- The geopolitical importance of lithium, cobalt, nickel, and other critical minerals.
- The role of sovereign wealth funds and state-owned enterprises in green tech investment.
- Emerging energy trade blocs and political alliances based on clean energy.
Unit 3: Energy Security in a Renewable World
Decentralization and Resilience- Traditional versus modern definitions of energy security (supply vs. resilience).
- Geopolitical risks associated with dependence on centralized clean energy supply chains.
- Cybersecurity risks to interconnected Smart Grids and energy infrastructure.
- The role of energy storage and distributed generation in enhancing national resilience.
- International cooperation and treaties for grid stability and cross-border power sharing.
Unit 4: Global Energy Finance and Investment Flows
Redirecting Capital and Risk- Analysis of foreign direct investment (FDI) trends in clean energy infrastructure.
- The role of multilateral development banks (MDBs) in financing the transition.
- Evaluating sovereign risk and political stability for large-scale renewable projects.
- Trade barriers, tariffs, and localized content requirements in energy projects.
- The shift in commodity trading from crude oil to hydrogen and clean power.
Unit 5: The Future Geopolitics of Hydrogen and Power Grids
New Infrastructure and Trade- The potential for a global hydrogen trade network (pipelines and shipping).
- Geopolitical alignment around hydrogen production and demand centers.
- The politics of large-scale, long-distance power interconnectors and supergrids.
- New energy alliances focusing on carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) technologies.
- Forecasting conflict and cooperation around critical clean energy technologies.
Ready to Learn More?
Have questions about this course? Get in touch with our training consultants.
Submit Your Enquiry