Fixed income securities form the largest and most critical component of most official foreign exchange reserve portfolios, serving as the primary vehicle for maintaining safety and liquidity. This technical course provides a deep dive into the valuation, risk management, and trading of fixed income instruments relevant to central bank mandates. Participants will gain expertise in measuring interest rate risk (**duration** and **convexity**), analyzing credit risk (sovereign, agency, supranational), and understanding the intricacies of the global bond markets, including repurchase agreements and derivatives used for hedging and enhanced return.
Fixed Income Securities for Reserve Portfolios
Central Banking and Monetary Policy
November 30, 2025
Introduction
Objectives
Upon completion of this program, participants will be able to:
- Analyze the characteristics, valuation, and yield metrics for various fixed income securities.
- Calculate and interpret measures of interest rate risk, including **Modified Duration** and **Convexity**.
- Evaluate the credit risk of sovereign, agency, and supranational issuers relevant to reserve portfolios.
- Describe the operational mechanics and risk management of **Repurchase Agreements (Repos)** and reverse repos.
- Understand the use of interest rate derivatives (e.g., futures, swaps) for hedging and tactical positioning.
- Apply policy guidelines for eligible collateral, haircuts, and counterparty limits.
- Assess the impact of central bank policies (e.g., QE) on bond market liquidity and valuation.
- Formulate a fixed income portfolio strategy that balances safety, liquidity, and return objectives.
Target Audience
- Central Bank Fixed Income Portfolio Managers and Traders
- Middle Office Risk Management and Valuation Specialists
- Commercial Bank Treasury and Fixed Income Strategists
- Securities Operations and Collateral Management Professionals
- Academics and Consultants specializing in Bond Market Analysis
- Internal Audit specializing in Investment Risk
Methodology
Duration and convexity calculation exercises, Fixed income trading desk simulation, Group project on credit risk assessment for a sovereign issuer, Workshops on repo transaction mechanics, Technical deep dives into yield curve analysis, Discussions on hedging strategies using derivatives.
Personal Impact
- Master the technical valuation and risk management of fixed income securities.
- Acquire specialized knowledge in duration, convexity, and yield curve analysis.
- Enhance analytical skills for assessing credit risk in sovereign and supranational debt.
- Gain proficiency in using repos and derivatives for efficient portfolio management.
- Improve career prospects in fixed income trading, risk, and treasury roles.
- Be able to contribute to the safe and effective management of the core reserve portfolio.
Organizational Impact
- Ensure the fixed income portfolio meets strict safety and liquidity requirements.
- Improve the accuracy and rigor of interest rate risk measurement and control.
- Optimize portfolio return within defined risk tolerance and duration bounds.
- Strengthen internal controls and compliance in fixed income trading and settlement.
- Facilitate the smooth execution of central bank liquidity and market operations.
- Better manage the balance sheet risks associated with fixed income holdings.
Course Outline
Unit 1: Fixed Income Valuation and Risk Measurement
Section 1: Valuation and Metrics- Pricing fixed-rate, floating-rate, and zero-coupon bonds.
- Key yield metrics: Yield-to-Maturity (YTM), current yield, and their interpretation.
- The concept of the term structure of interest rates and curve fitting.
- Valuation adjustments for illiquidity and embedded options.
- Calculation and interpretation of **Modified Duration** as the primary measure of interest rate sensitivity.
- The concept of **Convexity** and its importance in large rate movements.
- Immunization techniques and duration-matching strategies for risk control.
- Analyzing parallel shifts, twists, and butterfly movements in the yield curve.
Unit 2: Credit Risk and Eligible Instruments
Section 1: Issuer Analysis- Credit risk analysis for sovereign and quasi-sovereign issuers (e.g., Treasury, Agency bonds).
- Evaluation of the creditworthiness of Supranational Organizations (e.g., World Bank, EIB).
- Policy on credit rating eligibility, monitoring, and downgrade risk.
- The role of credit derivatives (e.g., CDS) as risk indicators.
- Securities: Government bonds, Treasury bills, Certificates of Deposit (CDs), and Commercial Paper (CP).
- The use of covered bonds and other highly-rated structured products.
- Policy for managing foreign currency debt and its associated risks.
- The central bank's eligibility rules for collateral in its own operations.
Unit 3: Trading, Hedging, and Operations
Section 1: Repos and Derivatives- Using **Repurchase Agreements (Repos)** for short-term funding and liquidity management.
- The use of interest rate futures for quick, low-cost tactical duration adjustments.
- Interest rate swaps for hedging or asset transformation.
- Risk management for derivatives (e.g., margin calls, counterparty exposure).
- Trade execution best practices and minimizing market impact.
- Middle office functions: performance attribution and risk reporting.
- Back office settlement, confirmation, and reconciliation procedures.
- The role of the custodian in safekeeping and asset servicing.
Unit 4: Policy and Market Dynamics
Section 1: Market Dynamics and Central Bank Policy- Analyzing the impact of Quantitative Easing (QE) and central bank bond purchases on market liquidity and yields.
- The challenge of negative interest rates on fixed income portfolio strategy.
- Managing the liquidity-return trade-off in the fixed income portfolio.
- Policy on non-traditional fixed income assets (e.g., inflation-linked bonds, corporate bonds).
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