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Monetary Policy Formulation and Implementation

Central Banking and Monetary Policy November 30, 2025
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Introduction

Monetary policy is the primary tool central banks use to manage inflation and support sustainable economic growth. This course provides a comprehensive overview of the theories, frameworks, and practical techniques involved in formulating and implementing effective monetary policy. We will explore various policy regimes, from inflation targeting to exchange rate pegs, and delve into the technical mechanisms by which central bank decisions translate into market interest rates and broader economic conditions. Participants will gain critical skills in policy analysis, forecasting, and the use of both conventional and unconventional instruments in response to modern economic challenges.

Objectives

Upon completion of this program, participants will be able to:

  • Analyze the objectives, tools, and transmission channels of modern monetary policy.
  • Evaluate different monetary policy frameworks, including inflation targeting and Taylor rules.
  • Describe the practical implementation of policy through Open Market Operations (OMOs) and standing facilities.
  • Interpret macroeconomic data to forecast inflation, output gaps, and policy responses.
  • Assess the rationale and impact of unconventional monetary policies (e.g., Quantitative Easing).
  • Understand the coordination and trade-offs between monetary, fiscal, and macroprudential policies.
  • Discuss the challenges of monetary policy in a low interest rate or liquidity trap environment.
  • Formulate policy recommendations based on economic modeling and forward-looking data analysis.

Target Audience

  • Central Bank Monetary Policy Analysts and Economists
  • Government Economic Policy Advisors
  • Financial Market Traders and Portfolio Managers
  • Treasury and Fixed Income Analysts at Commercial Banks
  • Academics and Researchers specializing in Macroeconomics
  • Financial Journalists covering Central Bank affairs

Methodology

Economic model simulation, Policy committee role-playing, Case studies of historical policy decisions (e.g., 2008 crisis), Forecasting exercises using real-time data, Group debates on unconventional policy risks, Policy framework drafting.

Personal Impact

  • Master the principles and technical tools of modern central banking.
  • Enhance analytical and forecasting skills for macroeconomic variables.
  • Gain proficiency in interpreting central bank communications and signals.
  • Develop skills in formulating credible, evidence-based policy recommendations.
  • Improve career prospects in policy analysis and economic research.
  • Understand the impact of policy decisions on global financial markets.

Organizational Impact

  • Strengthen the organization's capacity for rigorous economic and policy analysis.
  • Improve the accuracy and timeliness of internal economic forecasting.
  • Enhance the credibility and effectiveness of policy implementation.
  • Better inform strategic decisions related to interest rate and liquidity risk.
  • Ensure compliance with international best practices in central bank transparency.
  • Improve coordination between internal departments on macroeconomic trends.

Course Outline

Unit 1: Foundations and Frameworks

Section 1: Goals and Transmission Mechanisms
  • The dual mandate: price stability and maximum sustainable employment.
  • Key channels of monetary transmission (interest rate, credit, exchange rate, asset price, expectation).
  • The concept of the **neutral interest rate** ($r^*$) and the effective lower bound (ELB).
  • The role of inflation expectations and credibility in policy effectiveness.
Section 2: Policy Regimes
  • In-depth analysis of flexible inflation targeting (FIT) regimes.
  • Exchange rate targeting and currency board arrangements.
  • Nominal GDP targeting and alternative frameworks.
  • Historical comparison of major central bank policy regimes.

Unit 2: Conventional Policy Implementation

Section 1: Interest Rate Control
  • The role of the policy rate and the interest rate corridor system.
  • Mechanics of Open Market Operations (OMOs) and repurchase agreements (Repos).
  • The use of standing facilities (lending and deposit) to manage interbank liquidity.
  • Operational challenges in maintaining the target rate within the corridor.
Section 2: Policy Decisions and Communication
  • Structure and process of policy-setting committee meetings.
  • Data analysis and forecasting for policy decisions.
  • The importance of **forward guidance** and expectation management.
  • Communicating uncertainty and policy risks to the public.

Unit 3: Unconventional Monetary Policy (UMP)

Section 1: Quantitative Easing (QE)
  • Rationale for UMP: addressing liquidity traps and dysfunctional markets.
  • Balance sheet mechanics of QE and its impact on long-term rates.
  • Targeted asset purchases and credit easing programs.
  • The risks and eventual exit strategies for QE.
Section 2: Negative Interest Rates (NIRP)
  • Theoretical justification and practical implementation of NIRP.
  • Impact on bank profitability, money markets, and household behavior.
  • Policy tools to mitigate NIRP's negative side effects.
  • Cross-country experiences with negative interest rates.

Unit 4: Policy Challenges and Coordination

Section 1: Policy Trade-offs
  • The short-run Phillips curve and the inflation-unemployment trade-off.
  • Coordination with fiscal policy (e.g., debt management).
  • Integrating financial stability objectives (e.g., asset price bubbles) into policy.
  • Challenges in policy making in highly globalized and interconnected economies.
Section 2: Modernization and Future Trends
  • Implications of a **Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC)** on monetary policy implementation.
  • The impact of structural trends (e.g., digitalization, demographics) on the neutral rate.
  • Utilizing Machine Learning for enhanced forecasting and policy simulation.
  • Policy setting during periods of high geopolitical uncertainty.

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Upcoming Sessions

16 Feb

Rome

February 16, 2026 - February 20, 2026

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09 Mar

Riyadh

March 09, 2026 - March 13, 2026

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